Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2014-07-30, nTelos Pavilion were:
Character Zero (13, 4.7 shows)
Twist (13, 4.7 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (10, 10.9 shows)
Sparkle (10, 13.2 shows)
Rift (10, 7.9 shows)
Possum (10, 5.1 shows)
David Bowie (10, 8.1 shows)
Yarmouth Road (9, 15.1 shows)
Bathtub Gin (9, 5 shows)
Piper (9, 6.2 shows)
Devotion To a Dream (8, 21.9 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 6.4 shows)
Halley's Comet (8, 8.2 shows)
Tube (8, 5.2 shows)
Reba (7, 8.6 shows)
Silent in the Morning (7, 15.6 shows)
Walls of the Cave (7, 8.7 shows)
Golden Age (7, 7.5 shows)
Heavy Things (7, 12.9 shows)
Gumbo (6, 12.9 shows)
Maze (6, 7.2 shows)
Mound (6, 29.1 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 10.2 shows)
First Tube (6, 6.6 shows)
Winterqueen (6, 17.5 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (5, 17.5 shows)
Funky Bitch (5, 9.5 shows)
Grind (5, 24.3 shows)
Meatstick (5, 12.9 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 11.8 shows)
It's Ice (5, 15.6 shows)
When the Circus Comes (4, 21.9 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (4, 9.9 shows)
Scent of a Mule (4, 23 shows)
Axilla (4, 16.8 shows)
Bug (4, 10.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 43% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.