Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2014-08-01, Amphitheater at the Wharf were:
Character Zero (13, 4.7 shows)
Harry Hood (13, 4.3 shows)
The Moma Dance (12, 4.7 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (12, 4.8 shows)
Twist (12, 4.7 shows)
Light (11, 5.7 shows)
Carini (11, 5 shows)
Ghost (11, 4.1 shows)
The Wedge (10, 6.5 shows)
Rift (10, 7.9 shows)
Possum (10, 5.1 shows)
Stash (9, 6.5 shows)
Sparkle (9, 13.6 shows)
Julius (9, 9.3 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 6.4 shows)
Halley's Comet (8, 8.2 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (8, 8.2 shows)
Tube (8, 5.2 shows)
Roggae (7, 8.7 shows)
Reba (7, 8.5 shows)
Lawn Boy (7, 11.5 shows)
Walls of the Cave (7, 8.7 shows)
Golden Age (7, 7.5 shows)
Silent in the Morning (7, 15.6 shows)
Sample in a Jar (7, 9.3 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (7, 5.9 shows)
Heavy Things (7, 12.8 shows)
Sing Monica (6, 54.5 shows)
Steam (6, 7.8 shows)
Mound (6, 29.1 shows)
Maze (6, 7.1 shows)
Gumbo (6, 12.8 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 10.1 shows)
Winterqueen (6, 17.4 shows)
Wombat (6, 19.8 shows)
Funky Bitch (5, 9.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 33% of the actual 24-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.