Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2014-07-12, Randall's Island were:
Light (11, 5.7 shows)
Free (10, 4.7 shows)
Piper (10, 6.1 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (9, 8 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (9, 5.1 shows)
Funky Bitch (9, 9.1 shows)
Carini (9, 5.1 shows)
Mound (8, 26.4 shows)
Back on the Train (8, 5.8 shows)
Yarmouth Road (8, 14.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (8, 7.7 shows)
Sand (8, 4.8 shows)
Prince Caspian (7, 8 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (7, 16 shows)
Lawn Boy (7, 11.2 shows)
Wilson (7, 9 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 6.6 shows)
Divided Sky (7, 9.3 shows)
Maze (7, 7 shows)
AC/DC Bag (7, 9.7 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 8 shows)
Waves (6, 14.5 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.6 shows)
Fluffhead (6, 10.2 shows)
Scent of a Mule (5, 21.3 shows)
Heavy Things (5, 13.2 shows)
Meatstick (5, 12.8 shows)
First Tube (5, 6.7 shows)
Roggae (5, 9.1 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (5, 20.4 shows)
Undermind (5, 10 shows)
Runaway Jim (5, 10.4 shows)
Twenty Years Later (5, 14.5 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (5, 17.2 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (5, 11.5 shows)
Roses Are Free (4, 32 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 33% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.