Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2014-07-11, Randall's Island were:
Character Zero (14, 4.6 shows)
The Moma Dance (13, 4.6 shows)
Down with Disease (13, 4.7 shows)
Cavern (12, 6.8 shows)
Light (11, 5.7 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (11, 7 shows)
Free (10, 4.7 shows)
Rift (10, 7.7 shows)
Bathtub Gin (9, 4.9 shows)
Funky Bitch (9, 9.2 shows)
Stash (9, 6.4 shows)
Mound (8, 26.4 shows)
Back on the Train (8, 5.8 shows)
The Wedge (8, 6.6 shows)
Golden Age (8, 7.4 shows)
Sand (8, 4.8 shows)
Yarmouth Road (8, 14.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (8, 7.7 shows)
Wilson (7, 9 shows)
AC/DC Bag (7, 9.8 shows)
Maze (7, 7 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 6.6 shows)
Lawn Boy (7, 11.2 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (7, 16 shows)
Prince Caspian (7, 8 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.6 shows)
Meatstick (5, 12.8 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (5, 20.4 shows)
First Tube (5, 6.7 shows)
Twenty Years Later (5, 14.5 shows)
Steam (5, 7.9 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (5, 17.3 shows)
Rock and Roll (5, 14.5 shows)
Reba (5, 8.6 shows)
Water in the Sky (5, 21.4 shows)
Runaway Jim (5, 10.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 61% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.