Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2014-07-13, Randall's Island were:
Ocelot (14, 8.4 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (12, 5.7 shows)
Light (11, 5.6 shows)
Piper (10, 6 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (10, 5.1 shows)
Tweezer (10, 5.3 shows)
Possum (10, 5.1 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (9, 5.1 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (9, 8 shows)
Funky Bitch (9, 9.1 shows)
Sand (8, 4.7 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 5.8 shows)
Mound (8, 26.3 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 7.8 shows)
Lawn Boy (7, 11.2 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 6.5 shows)
Wilson (7, 8.9 shows)
Walls of the Cave (7, 8.8 shows)
Divided Sky (7, 9.3 shows)
Prince Caspian (7, 8 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (7, 16 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 8.4 shows)
Waves (6, 14.4 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 8 shows)
Gumbo (6, 13.1 shows)
Maze (6, 7.1 shows)
It's Ice (6, 14.9 shows)
Fluffhead (6, 10.2 shows)
Heavy Things (5, 13.1 shows)
Runaway Jim (5, 10.4 shows)
Undermind (5, 9.9 shows)
Scent of a Mule (5, 21.3 shows)
Meatstick (5, 12.8 shows)
Roggae (5, 9.1 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (5, 11.5 shows)
Split Open and Melt (5, 8.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 61% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.