Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2014-04-26, New Orleans Fairgrounds were:
Backwards Down the Number Line (13, 5.6 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (13, 5.4 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (11, 4.6 shows)
Birds of a Feather (11, 7.6 shows)
Piper (10, 5.9 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (10, 5 shows)
Tweezer (10, 5.1 shows)
Golden Age (9, 7.2 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (9, 5.6 shows)
Free (9, 4.6 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (9, 10.6 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (9, 7.8 shows)
Sand (9, 4.6 shows)
Julius (9, 8.6 shows)
Funky Bitch (9, 8.9 shows)
Tube (9, 5 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 6.4 shows)
Silent in the Morning (8, 14.4 shows)
Mound (8, 24.8 shows)
Back on the Train (8, 5.7 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (8, 15.4 shows)
The Wedge (8, 6.5 shows)
Maze (7, 6.9 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 8.3 shows)
Steam (6, 7.7 shows)
Meatstick (6, 12.4 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (6, 19.4 shows)
Rock and Roll (6, 13.9 shows)
Prince Caspian (6, 8 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (5, 11.7 shows)
Loving Cup (5, 11.2 shows)
Bug (5, 10.4 shows)
Cities (5, 12.4 shows)
Army of One (5, 26.2 shows)
Roses Are Free (5, 29.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (5, 10.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 27% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.