Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2013-10-29, Santander Arena were:
Harry Hood (12, 4.2 shows)
The Moma Dance (11, 4.5 shows)
Twist (10, 4.6 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (9, 6.8 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (8, 10.5 shows)
Piper (8, 5.9 shows)
AC/DC Bag (8, 9.4 shows)
Mound (7, 23.7 shows)
The Wedge (7, 6.4 shows)
Julius (7, 8.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 7.5 shows)
Silent in the Morning (7, 14.1 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (6, 11.5 shows)
Roses Are Free (6, 28.1 shows)
Army of One (6, 25 shows)
Yarmouth Road (6, 14.1 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 9 shows)
It's Ice (5, 14.5 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 11.3 shows)
Bug (5, 10.2 shows)
Runaway Jim (5, 10 shows)
Meatstick (5, 12.5 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (5, 9.6 shows)
Sample in a Jar (5, 9 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 7.8 shows)
Steam (5, 7.8 shows)
Water in the Sky (4, 21.4 shows)
Joy (4, 15.5 shows)
Scent of a Mule (4, 21.4 shows)
Architect (4, 112.5 shows)
First Tube (4, 6.6 shows)
Ya Mar (4, 14.5 shows)
Twenty Years Later (4, 14.1 shows)
Show of Life (4, 32.1 shows)
Energy (4, 45 shows)
Split Open and Melt (4, 8.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 42% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.