Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2013-10-27, XL Center were:
The Moma Dance (11, 4.5 shows)
Ocelot (11, 8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (9, 5.6 shows)
Birds of a Feather (9, 7.5 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (9, 6.8 shows)
Golden Age (9, 7.1 shows)
Piper (8, 5.9 shows)
Tweezer (8, 5.1 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (8, 5 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (8, 5 shows)
AC/DC Bag (8, 9.4 shows)
Mound (7, 23.7 shows)
The Wedge (7, 6.4 shows)
Silent in the Morning (7, 14.1 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 7.5 shows)
Julius (7, 8.5 shows)
Maze (7, 6.8 shows)
Tube (7, 5 shows)
Halley's Comet (6, 8.2 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 9 shows)
Roses Are Free (6, 28.1 shows)
Army of One (6, 25 shows)
Lawn Boy (6, 10.7 shows)
Steam (5, 7.8 shows)
Bug (5, 10.2 shows)
Walls of the Cave (5, 8.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (5, 10 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (5, 9.6 shows)
It's Ice (5, 14.5 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 7.8 shows)
Sample in a Jar (5, 9 shows)
Meatstick (5, 12.5 shows)
NICU (4, 11.8 shows)
Ya Mar (4, 14.5 shows)
Twenty Years Later (4, 14.1 shows)
Show of Life (4, 32.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 62% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.