Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2013-10-31, Boardwalk Hall were:
Harry Hood (12, 4.2 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (12, 5.4 shows)
The Moma Dance (11, 4.5 shows)
Cavern (11, 6.5 shows)
Twist (10, 4.6 shows)
Funky Bitch (9, 8.8 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (9, 6.8 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (9, 7.8 shows)
Rift (8, 7.5 shows)
Free (8, 4.6 shows)
AC/DC Bag (8, 9.4 shows)
46 Days (8, 4.2 shows)
Silent in the Morning (7, 14.1 shows)
Prince Caspian (7, 7.9 shows)
Mound (7, 23.7 shows)
Carini (7, 5.1 shows)
Wilson (7, 8.7 shows)
Ghost (7, 4.1 shows)
The Wedge (7, 6.4 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (6, 11.5 shows)
Yarmouth Road (6, 14.1 shows)
Cities (6, 12.2 shows)
Roses Are Free (6, 28.1 shows)
Army of One (6, 25 shows)
Bug (5, 10.2 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 11.3 shows)
Runaway Jim (5, 10 shows)
It's Ice (5, 14.5 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (5, 9.6 shows)
Steam (5, 7.8 shows)
Sample in a Jar (5, 9 shows)
Meatstick (5, 12.5 shows)
Waves (4, 14.1 shows)
First Tube (4, 6.6 shows)
Show of Life (4, 32.1 shows)
Architect (4, 112.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 32% of the actual 31-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.