Trey's Notebook

Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2011-08-17, UIC Pavilion, University of Illinois were:
David Bowie (16, 6.6 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (15, 4.9 shows)
Bathtub Gin (12, 4.7 shows)
Character Zero (12, 4.5 shows)
Tube (10, 5.2 shows)
Divided Sky (10, 8.4 shows)
46 Days (10, 4.4 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (10, 9.7 shows)
AC/DC Bag (10, 8.3 shows)
Loving Cup (10, 9.8 shows)
Cities (9, 10.3 shows)
Free (9, 4.8 shows)
Stash (9, 6.1 shows)
Halley's Comet (9, 7.6 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (9, 11.5 shows)
Carini (9, 5.1 shows)
Show of Life (8, 21 shows)
Meatstick (8, 11.5 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (8, 13.1 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (8, 8.8 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (8, 11.3 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (8, 10.2 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (8, 10.7 shows)
Ghost (8, 4.4 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (7, 28 shows)
Prince Caspian (7, 8 shows)
Quinn the Eskimo (The Mighty Quinn) (7, 24.5 shows)
Alaska (7, 19.6 shows)
NICU (7, 11.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 7.6 shows)
First Tube (7, 6.6 shows)
Joy (7, 13.7 shows)
Bug (6, 10 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (6, 11.3 shows)
It's Ice (6, 14.7 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (6, 14.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 48% of the actual 27-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year Explain!

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