Trey's Notebook

Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2011-08-16, UIC Pavilion, University of Illinois were:
David Bowie (16, 6.6 shows)
Character Zero (12, 4.5 shows)
Bathtub Gin (12, 4.7 shows)
Ocelot (11, 7.4 shows)
Loving Cup (11, 9.7 shows)
AC/DC Bag (10, 8.3 shows)
Tube (10, 5.2 shows)
46 Days (10, 4.4 shows)
Divided Sky (10, 8.4 shows)
Cities (10, 10.2 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (10, 5 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (9, 10 shows)
Carini (9, 5.1 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (9, 11.6 shows)
Free (9, 4.8 shows)
Meatstick (8, 11.6 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (8, 13.1 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (8, 8.8 shows)
Prince Caspian (8, 7.9 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (8, 10.7 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (8, 11.3 shows)
The Wedge (7, 6.7 shows)
Joy (7, 13.7 shows)
First Tube (7, 6.6 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 7.6 shows)
NICU (7, 11.6 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (7, 28.1 shows)
Twist (7, 4.7 shows)
Quinn the Eskimo (The Mighty Quinn) (7, 24.6 shows)
Bug (6, 10 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.8 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 6.5 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (6, 14.4 shows)
Simple (6, 7.2 shows)
Maze (6, 6.7 shows)
Foam (5, 23.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 26% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year Explain!

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