Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2011-09-02, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
David Bowie (16, 6.6 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (15, 4.9 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (14, 5.9 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (14, 6.8 shows)
Mike's Song (14, 5.1 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (13, 5.3 shows)
Julius (13, 7.3 shows)
Fluffhead (12, 8.3 shows)
The Moma Dance (11, 4.4 shows)
Wilson (10, 7.6 shows)
Sample in a Jar (10, 7.8 shows)
AC/DC Bag (10, 8.3 shows)
Roses Are Free (10, 15.9 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (10, 9.6 shows)
Loving Cup (10, 9.8 shows)
Stash (9, 6.1 shows)
Halley's Comet (9, 7.6 shows)
Tube (9, 5.2 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (9, 11.5 shows)
Rock and Roll (9, 10.7 shows)
46 Days (9, 4.5 shows)
Carini (9, 5.1 shows)
Free (9, 4.8 shows)
Cities (9, 10.3 shows)
Axilla (8, 12.8 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (8, 11.3 shows)
Meatstick (8, 11.5 shows)
NICU (7, 11.5 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (7, 8.9 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 7.5 shows)
Quinn the Eskimo (The Mighty Quinn) (7, 24.5 shows)
Bug (6, 10 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.8 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (6, 11.3 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (6, 14.3 shows)
Joy (6, 14 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 19% of the actual 26-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.