Trey's Notebook

Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2011-08-15, UIC Pavilion, University of Illinois were:
Wolfman's Brother (14, 4.5 shows)
Character Zero (12, 4.5 shows)
Bathtub Gin (12, 4.7 shows)
Back on the Train (11, 5.5 shows)
Loving Cup (11, 9.7 shows)
Ocelot (11, 7.4 shows)
Cities (10, 10.2 shows)
Divided Sky (10, 8.4 shows)
Sand (10, 4.6 shows)
Tube (10, 5.2 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (9, 11.6 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (9, 10 shows)
Carini (9, 5.1 shows)
Reba (9, 7.9 shows)
Prince Caspian (8, 7.9 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (8, 13.1 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (8, 8.8 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (8, 10.7 shows)
Meatstick (8, 11.6 shows)
Joy (7, 13.7 shows)
First Tube (7, 6.6 shows)
NICU (7, 11.6 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (7, 28.1 shows)
Twist (7, 4.7 shows)
The Wedge (7, 6.7 shows)
Quinn the Eskimo (The Mighty Quinn) (7, 24.6 shows)
Simple (6, 7.2 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (6, 28.1 shows)
Maze (6, 6.7 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 6.5 shows)
Camel Walk (6, 19.7 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.8 shows)
Silent in the Morning (5, 12.6 shows)
Foam (5, 23.6 shows)
Walk Away (5, 25.7 shows)
The Horse (5, 17.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 35% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year Explain!

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