Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2011-08-06, Gorge Amphitheatre were:
Possum (18, 4.3 shows)
Mike's Song (15, 5.1 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (15, 4.9 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (14, 4.5 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (14, 4 shows)
Fluffhead (12, 8.2 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (12, 7.1 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (11, 5 shows)
The Moma Dance (10, 4.5 shows)
Sand (10, 4.6 shows)
Halley's Comet (10, 7.6 shows)
Free (9, 4.8 shows)
Carini (9, 5.1 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 6.4 shows)
Quinn the Eskimo (The Mighty Quinn) (8, 23 shows)
NICU (8, 11.5 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (8, 10.7 shows)
Joy (7, 13.6 shows)
Alaska (7, 19.3 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (7, 27.1 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 7.6 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (7, 28.4 shows)
Foam (6, 23 shows)
Maze (6, 6.7 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (6, 14.2 shows)
Bug (6, 10 shows)
Simple (6, 7.3 shows)
The Horse (6, 17.1 shows)
Silent in the Morning (6, 12.4 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.8 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 10.9 shows)
Sneakin' Sally Through the Alley (5, 17.1 shows)
Scent of a Mule (5, 19.3 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (5, 11.5 shows)
Gumbo (5, 11.7 shows)
Fee (5, 28.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 35% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.