Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2011-08-05, Gorge Amphitheatre were:
You Enjoy Myself (13, 7 shows)
Fluffhead (12, 8.2 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (11, 5 shows)
Halley's Comet (10, 7.6 shows)
Rock and Roll (9, 10.5 shows)
Free (9, 4.8 shows)
Carini (9, 5.1 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 6.4 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (7, 28.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 7.6 shows)
Alaska (7, 19.3 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (7, 27.2 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (6, 15.7 shows)
Foam (6, 23 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.8 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (6, 14.2 shows)
Maze (6, 6.7 shows)
Guyute (5, 23.9 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 10.9 shows)
Gumbo (5, 11.7 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (5, 11.5 shows)
Sneakin' Sally Through the Alley (5, 17.1 shows)
Scent of a Mule (5, 19.3 shows)
Fee (5, 28.5 shows)
Walk Away (5, 24.9 shows)
The Squirming Coil (4, 12.5 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (4, 16.6 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (4, 39.9 shows)
Twenty Years Later (4, 15 shows)
Roggae (4, 9.6 shows)
Fuck Your Face (4, 33.2 shows)
Walls of the Cave (4, 9.2 shows)
Seven Below (4, 22.1 shows)
Light Up Or Leave Me Alone (3, 119.6 shows)
Time Turns Elastic (3, 149.5 shows)
Drowned (3, 37.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 14% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.