Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2011-08-08, Hollywood Bowl were:
Mike's Song (15, 5.1 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (15, 4.9 shows)
Harry Hood (14, 4.1 shows)
Piper (12, 5.6 shows)
Divided Sky (12, 8.3 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (12, 5.3 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (12, 7.1 shows)
Back on the Train (11, 5.5 shows)
Halley's Comet (10, 7.5 shows)
Stash (10, 6.1 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (10, 9.9 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (10, 5 shows)
Tube (10, 5.2 shows)
46 Days (10, 4.4 shows)
Carini (9, 5.1 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (9, 13 shows)
Cities (9, 10.3 shows)
Free (9, 4.8 shows)
Axilla (8, 12.4 shows)
Quinn the Eskimo (The Mighty Quinn) (8, 22.9 shows)
NICU (8, 11.5 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (8, 10.6 shows)
Camel Walk (7, 19.2 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 7.5 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (7, 27.1 shows)
Alaska (7, 19.2 shows)
Joy (7, 13.5 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (7, 28.4 shows)
Twist (7, 4.7 shows)
Rift (7, 7 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 6.5 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 8.9 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (6, 14.2 shows)
Bug (6, 9.9 shows)
Simple (6, 7.3 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 50% of the actual 26-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.