Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2011-07-03, Watkins Glen International were:
You Enjoy Myself (13, 7.1 shows)
Halley's Comet (11, 7.5 shows)
Free (10, 4.8 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (10, 9.4 shows)
AC/DC Bag (10, 8.2 shows)
Carini (9, 5.1 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (9, 10.9 shows)
Ghost (9, 4.3 shows)
Rock and Roll (9, 10.5 shows)
Wilson (9, 7.5 shows)
Reba (9, 7.8 shows)
First Tube (8, 6.6 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (8, 7.5 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 6.5 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (7, 14 shows)
Meatstick (7, 11.5 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (7, 28.6 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (7, 27.3 shows)
Maze (7, 6.7 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.8 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (6, 15.8 shows)
Foam (6, 23.1 shows)
Gumbo (5, 11.8 shows)
Guyute (5, 24 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (5, 11.5 shows)
Fee (5, 28.6 shows)
Scent of a Mule (5, 19.4 shows)
Walk Away (5, 25 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 10.9 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (4, 16.7 shows)
Big Black Furry Creature from Mars (4, 31.6 shows)
Seven Below (4, 22.2 shows)
Twenty Years Later (4, 15 shows)
Fuck Your Face (4, 33.3 shows)
Waste (4, 13 shows)
Roggae (4, 9.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 35% of the actual 26-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.