Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2011-07-02, Watkins Glen International were:
Tweezer (17, 4.8 shows)
Harry Hood (15, 4.1 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (15, 4.7 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (13, 7.1 shows)
Ocelot (13, 7.2 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (12, 5.3 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (11, 9.2 shows)
Cavern (11, 6.1 shows)
Loving Cup (11, 9.5 shows)
Rock and Roll (10, 10.4 shows)
Free (10, 4.8 shows)
Sample in a Jar (10, 7.7 shows)
Reba (9, 7.8 shows)
Cities (9, 10.2 shows)
Stash (9, 6.1 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (9, 7.4 shows)
Carini (9, 5.1 shows)
Wilson (9, 7.5 shows)
Ghost (9, 4.4 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (9, 10.9 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 6.5 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (8, 11.6 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (7, 27.3 shows)
Camel Walk (7, 18.8 shows)
Axilla (7, 12.5 shows)
Meatstick (7, 11.6 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (7, 14 shows)
Maze (7, 6.7 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (7, 28.6 shows)
Gumbo (6, 11.6 shows)
Foam (6, 23.1 shows)
Heavy Things (5, 12.3 shows)
Walk Away (5, 25 shows)
It's Ice (5, 14.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (5, 9 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 10.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 36% of the actual 45-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.