Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2011-07-01, Watkins Glen International were:
Tweezer (17, 4.8 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (15, 4.7 shows)
Harry Hood (15, 4.1 shows)
Ocelot (13, 7.2 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (13, 5.2 shows)
Bathtub Gin (13, 4.7 shows)
Character Zero (12, 4.5 shows)
Cavern (11, 6.1 shows)
Stash (10, 6.1 shows)
Carini (10, 5.1 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (9, 10.9 shows)
Cities (9, 10.2 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 6.5 shows)
Roses Are Free (8, 15.8 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (8, 11.6 shows)
Show of Life (7, 20.1 shows)
Meatstick (7, 11.6 shows)
Joy (7, 13.4 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (7, 28.7 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (7, 14 shows)
Camel Walk (7, 18.8 shows)
Quinn the Eskimo (The Mighty Quinn) (7, 23.2 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (7, 27.4 shows)
Maze (7, 6.7 shows)
Gumbo (6, 11.6 shows)
Foam (6, 23.2 shows)
Simple (6, 7.3 shows)
Fee (5, 28.7 shows)
A Day in the Life (5, 26.2 shows)
Fuck Your Face (5, 31.7 shows)
Twenty Years Later (5, 14.7 shows)
Silent in the Morning (5, 12.5 shows)
Heavy Things (5, 12.3 shows)
The Horse (5, 17.2 shows)
Walk Away (5, 25.1 shows)
It's Ice (5, 14.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 35% of the actual 26-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.