Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2011-06-19, nTelos Pavilion were:
Down with Disease (17, 4.4 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (16, 5.2 shows)
Ocelot (15, 7.1 shows)
Light (15, 5.1 shows)
Fluffhead (14, 8 shows)
Bathtub Gin (14, 4.7 shows)
Cavern (12, 6.1 shows)
Stash (11, 6.1 shows)
Carini (11, 5.1 shows)
The Moma Dance (10, 4.5 shows)
Cities (10, 10.2 shows)
Tube (10, 5.2 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (10, 11.3 shows)
Alaska (9, 17.9 shows)
Sand (8, 4.7 shows)
Camel Walk (8, 18.5 shows)
Show of Life (8, 19.7 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (8, 27.7 shows)
Joy (8, 13.3 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 6.6 shows)
Meatstick (8, 11.5 shows)
Simple (7, 7.3 shows)
Limb By Limb (7, 10.7 shows)
Gumbo (7, 11.5 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (7, 14.2 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (7, 27.7 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (7, 10.7 shows)
Maze (7, 6.8 shows)
Quinn the Eskimo (The Mighty Quinn) (7, 23.5 shows)
Heavy Things (6, 12.2 shows)
The Wedge (6, 6.8 shows)
Silent in the Morning (6, 12.4 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (6, 11.5 shows)
The Horse (6, 16.9 shows)
Twenty Years Later (6, 14.5 shows)
Bug (6, 10 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 41% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.