Trey's Notebook

Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2011-06-18, Time Warner Cable Music Pavilion at Walnut Creek were:
Light (15, 5.1 shows)
Divided Sky (14, 8 shows)
Piper (13, 5.6 shows)
AC/DC Bag (12, 8 shows)
46 Days (12, 4.4 shows)
Stash (11, 6.1 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (11, 9.7 shows)
Halley's Comet (11, 7.5 shows)
Tube (10, 5.2 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (10, 11.3 shows)
Prince Caspian (9, 7.7 shows)
Joy (9, 13 shows)
Show of Life (9, 19.1 shows)
Alaska (9, 18 shows)
First Tube (9, 6.6 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 6.6 shows)
Camel Walk (8, 18.5 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (8, 27.8 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (7, 10.7 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (7, 14.2 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (7, 27.8 shows)
Limb By Limb (7, 10.7 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (7, 8.9 shows)
Simple (7, 7.3 shows)
Gumbo (7, 11.5 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (6, 15.7 shows)
Rift (6, 7.1 shows)
The Wedge (6, 6.8 shows)
Heavy Things (6, 12.2 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.9 shows)
The Squirming Coil (6, 12.2 shows)
Silent in the Morning (6, 12.5 shows)
The Horse (6, 17 shows)
Twenty Years Later (6, 14.5 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (6, 11.5 shows)
Drowned (5, 33.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 55% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year Explain!

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