Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2010-12-31, Madison Square Garden were:
Down with Disease (14, 4.4 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (13, 6.9 shows)
Divided Sky (12, 7.9 shows)
Ocelot (12, 7 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (10, 5 shows)
Piper (10, 5.6 shows)
46 Days (10, 4.4 shows)
AC/DC Bag (9, 8 shows)
Prince Caspian (9, 7.7 shows)
Free (9, 4.8 shows)
Reba (9, 7.6 shows)
Show of Life (8, 18.7 shows)
Rock and Roll (8, 10.1 shows)
Wilson (8, 7.4 shows)
Ghost (8, 4.4 shows)
Joy (8, 12.9 shows)
The Moma Dance (8, 4.5 shows)
The Horse (7, 16.2 shows)
Silent in the Morning (7, 12.1 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (7, 10.8 shows)
NICU (7, 11 shows)
Tube (7, 5.2 shows)
First Tube (7, 6.6 shows)
Simple (6, 7.3 shows)
The Squirming Coil (6, 12.1 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 8.7 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.8 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (5, 28 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (5, 14 shows)
Time Turns Elastic (5, 102.8 shows)
Sand (5, 4.7 shows)
Sparkle (5, 15 shows)
Drowned (5, 32.5 shows)
Lawn Boy (5, 11.2 shows)
Sugar Shack (5, 22 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (4, 15.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 57% of the actual 28-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.