Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2010-10-30, Boardwalk Hall were:
Tweezer Reprise (19, 4.6 shows)
Down with Disease (18, 4.4 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (18, 6.6 shows)
Tweezer (17, 4.7 shows)
Harry Hood (16, 4.1 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (16, 6.4 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (15, 5.6 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (15, 5.2 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (15, 8.6 shows)
Reba (13, 7.5 shows)
Wilson (12, 7.2 shows)
Bathtub Gin (12, 4.7 shows)
Julius (12, 7 shows)
Joy (12, 12.2 shows)
Character Zero (12, 4.5 shows)
Rock and Roll (12, 9.8 shows)
NICU (11, 10.6 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (11, 10.4 shows)
Funky Bitch (10, 7.3 shows)
First Tube (10, 6.6 shows)
Back on the Train (10, 5.5 shows)
Maze (10, 6.6 shows)
Lawn Boy (9, 10.8 shows)
Halley's Comet (9, 7.6 shows)
Heavy Things (9, 11.6 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (9, 11 shows)
Split Open and Melt (9, 8.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (9, 8.6 shows)
The Squirming Coil (9, 11.6 shows)
The Horse (8, 15.9 shows)
Water in the Sky (8, 19.3 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (8, 11 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (8, 14.8 shows)
Silent in the Morning (8, 12 shows)
Limb By Limb (8, 10.4 shows)
Sparkle (8, 14.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 26% of the actual 27-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.