Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2010-10-31, Boardwalk Hall were:
Run Like an Antelope (19, 4.8 shows)
Down with Disease (18, 4.3 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (17, 6.7 shows)
Divided Sky (16, 7.7 shows)
Harry Hood (16, 4 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (15, 8.6 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (15, 6.4 shows)
Free (14, 4.7 shows)
Reba (13, 7.5 shows)
Stash (13, 6 shows)
Character Zero (12, 4.5 shows)
Wilson (12, 7.2 shows)
Julius (12, 7 shows)
Rock and Roll (12, 9.8 shows)
Joy (12, 12.2 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (11, 10.4 shows)
NICU (11, 10.6 shows)
Funky Bitch (10, 7.3 shows)
Alaska (10, 16.7 shows)
Maze (10, 6.6 shows)
First Tube (10, 6.5 shows)
Back on the Train (10, 5.5 shows)
Heavy Things (9, 11.5 shows)
Split Open and Melt (9, 8.7 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (9, 10.9 shows)
Sparkle (8, 14.4 shows)
Limb By Limb (8, 10.4 shows)
Time Turns Elastic (8, 70.6 shows)
Runaway Jim (8, 8.7 shows)
Silent in the Morning (8, 12 shows)
The Horse (8, 15.9 shows)
Lawn Boy (8, 10.9 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (8, 10.9 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (8, 14.8 shows)
Water in the Sky (8, 19.2 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (7, 8.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 41% of the actual 37-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.