Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2010-10-29, Boardwalk Hall were:
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (16, 8.5 shows)
Ocelot (16, 6.8 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (16, 6.4 shows)
Fluffhead (15, 7.7 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (15, 5.2 shows)
Sample in a Jar (14, 7.2 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (14, 4.9 shows)
Joy (13, 12 shows)
Character Zero (13, 4.5 shows)
46 Days (13, 4.5 shows)
Reba (13, 7.5 shows)
The Moma Dance (12, 4.5 shows)
NICU (12, 10.4 shows)
Bathtub Gin (12, 4.8 shows)
Rock and Roll (12, 9.8 shows)
Wilson (12, 7.2 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (12, 7.2 shows)
Julius (12, 7 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (11, 10.4 shows)
Back on the Train (10, 5.5 shows)
Funky Bitch (10, 7.3 shows)
First Tube (10, 6.6 shows)
Halley's Comet (9, 7.6 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (9, 6.5 shows)
The Squirming Coil (9, 11.6 shows)
Runaway Jim (9, 8.6 shows)
Split Open and Melt (9, 8.7 shows)
Loving Cup (9, 9.5 shows)
Heavy Things (9, 11.6 shows)
Limb By Limb (8, 10.4 shows)
Silent in the Morning (8, 12 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (8, 14.8 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (8, 13.3 shows)
Water in the Sky (8, 19.3 shows)
The Horse (8, 15.9 shows)
Poor Heart (7, 16.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 40% of the actual 25-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.