Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2010-10-26, Verizon Wireless Arena were:
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (16, 8.5 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (14, 4.9 shows)
Reba (13, 7.5 shows)
46 Days (13, 4.5 shows)
Joy (13, 12 shows)
Bathtub Gin (12, 4.8 shows)
Wilson (12, 7.2 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (12, 7.2 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (11, 10.4 shows)
Back on the Train (10, 5.5 shows)
Ghost (10, 4.4 shows)
The Squirming Coil (9, 11.6 shows)
Runaway Jim (9, 8.6 shows)
Split Open and Melt (9, 8.7 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (9, 6.5 shows)
Heavy Things (9, 11.6 shows)
Halley's Comet (9, 7.6 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (8, 13.3 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (8, 14.8 shows)
Limb By Limb (8, 10.4 shows)
The Horse (8, 15.9 shows)
Silent in the Morning (8, 12 shows)
Water in the Sky (8, 19.3 shows)
Tube (7, 5.4 shows)
Cities (7, 10.3 shows)
Poor Heart (7, 16.8 shows)
Simple (7, 7.3 shows)
Axilla (6, 12.5 shows)
Sugar Shack (6, 21.2 shows)
Twenty Years Later (6, 14.5 shows)
Twist (6, 4.9 shows)
Drowned (6, 31.9 shows)
A Day in the Life (6, 24.5 shows)
Show of Life (6, 19.3 shows)
The Wedge (5, 6.8 shows)
Undermind (5, 11 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 17% of the actual 24-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.