Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2010-08-17, Nikon at Jones Beach Theater were:
Harry Hood (13, 4 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (13, 8.8 shows)
Sample in a Jar (12, 7.2 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (12, 5.6 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (11, 4.5 shows)
Free (11, 4.8 shows)
NICU (10, 10.4 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (10, 7.2 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (10, 10.4 shows)
Rock and Roll (9, 9.8 shows)
Prince Caspian (9, 7.6 shows)
Bathtub Gin (9, 4.8 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (8, 14.8 shows)
The Squirming Coil (8, 11.6 shows)
Runaway Jim (8, 8.6 shows)
First Tube (8, 6.6 shows)
Heavy Things (8, 11.6 shows)
Time Turns Elastic (7, 63.7 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (7, 13.3 shows)
Limb By Limb (7, 10.4 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (7, 11 shows)
Poor Heart (6, 16.8 shows)
Silent in the Morning (6, 12 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (6, 11 shows)
The Horse (6, 15.9 shows)
Shine a Light (6, 21.2 shows)
Loving Cup (6, 9.5 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.7 shows)
Undermind (5, 11 shows)
Sugar Shack (5, 21.2 shows)
Twenty Years Later (5, 14.5 shows)
The Wedge (5, 6.8 shows)
A Day in the Life (5, 24.5 shows)
Drowned (5, 31.9 shows)
Simple (5, 7.3 shows)
Party Time (5, 17.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 33% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.