Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2010-06-15, nTelos Pavilion were:
Kill Devil Falls (12, 5.5 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (10, 4.6 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (10, 8.3 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (10, 4.9 shows)
The Moma Dance (9, 4.4 shows)
AC/DC Bag (9, 7.6 shows)
Joy (9, 11.5 shows)
Wilson (9, 7.1 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 5.2 shows)
Bathtub Gin (7, 4.7 shows)
Alaska (7, 15.6 shows)
Lawn Boy (7, 10.5 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (7, 12.8 shows)
Heavy Things (6, 11.5 shows)
Poor Heart (6, 16.4 shows)
Grind (6, 23.4 shows)
Back on the Train (6, 5.6 shows)
Loving Cup (6, 9.3 shows)
The Wedge (6, 6.8 shows)
Let Me Lie (6, 72.7 shows)
Taste (5, 14.9 shows)
First Tube (5, 6.6 shows)
Guyute (5, 21.1 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (5, 36.3 shows)
46 Days (5, 4.5 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 7.5 shows)
Train Song (5, 32.7 shows)
Ya Mar (5, 13.6 shows)
The Curtain With (5, 26.2 shows)
Beauty of a Broken Heart (5, 46.7 shows)
Esther (4, 34.4 shows)
Tube (4, 5.4 shows)
Undermind (4, 11.1 shows)
Sleeping Monkey (4, 21.1 shows)
Brian and Robert (4, 29.7 shows)
When the Circus Comes (4, 20.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 70% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.