Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2010-06-17, The Comcast Theatre were:
Down with Disease (13, 4.3 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (13, 4.7 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (12, 8.6 shows)
David Bowie (12, 6.1 shows)
Possum (12, 4.2 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (11, 4.4 shows)
Divided Sky (11, 7.4 shows)
Cavern (10, 5.9 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (10, 4.6 shows)
Light (9, 5 shows)
Prince Caspian (8, 7.5 shows)
Ghost (8, 4.4 shows)
Maze (8, 6.7 shows)
Alaska (7, 15.5 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (7, 12.8 shows)
Limb By Limb (7, 10.2 shows)
Let Me Lie (6, 72.6 shows)
The Wedge (6, 6.8 shows)
Loving Cup (6, 9.3 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (6, 10.9 shows)
Grind (6, 23.3 shows)
Reba (6, 7.6 shows)
Silent in the Morning (6, 11.7 shows)
Back on the Train (6, 5.6 shows)
The Horse (6, 15.2 shows)
The Curtain With (5, 26.1 shows)
Beauty of a Broken Heart (5, 46.6 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (5, 36.3 shows)
Guyute (5, 21.1 shows)
Julius (5, 7.2 shows)
Undermind (4, 11.1 shows)
Ya Mar (4, 13.9 shows)
Train Song (4, 34.4 shows)
Halley's Comet (4, 7.6 shows)
When the Circus Comes (4, 20.4 shows)
Sugar Shack (4, 20.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 45% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.