Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2010-06-13, Hersheypark Stadium were:
Chalk Dust Torture (12, 3.9 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (12, 5.6 shows)
Tweezer (11, 4.7 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (11, 4.6 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (10, 8.3 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (10, 4.9 shows)
NICU (9, 10.1 shows)
Wilson (9, 7.1 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (8, 10.2 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 5.2 shows)
Free (7, 4.8 shows)
Alaska (7, 15.6 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 7.3 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 8.5 shows)
First Tube (6, 6.6 shows)
Poor Heart (6, 16.4 shows)
Heavy Things (6, 11.5 shows)
Back on the Train (6, 5.6 shows)
Let Me Lie (6, 72.8 shows)
Sparkle (6, 13.9 shows)
Grind (6, 23.4 shows)
The Wedge (6, 6.8 shows)
Train Song (5, 32.8 shows)
Taste (5, 14.9 shows)
The Curtain With (5, 26.2 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 7.5 shows)
Ya Mar (5, 13.6 shows)
Beauty of a Broken Heart (5, 46.8 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (5, 36.4 shows)
Split Open and Melt (5, 8.7 shows)
Brian and Robert (4, 29.8 shows)
Sleeping Monkey (4, 21.1 shows)
Farmhouse (4, 13.4 shows)
Drowned (4, 28.5 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (4, 11.1 shows)
Tube (4, 5.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 58% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.