Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2010-06-12, Blossom Music Center were:
Backwards Down the Number Line (12, 4.6 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (12, 5.6 shows)
Character Zero (11, 4.5 shows)
Tweezer (11, 4.7 shows)
Harry Hood (11, 4 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (11, 4.6 shows)
Ocelot (11, 6.6 shows)
Time Turns Elastic (10, 40.9 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (10, 4.9 shows)
Sample in a Jar (10, 7 shows)
NICU (9, 10.1 shows)
Wilson (9, 7.1 shows)
Mike's Song (9, 4.9 shows)
Stash (9, 5.9 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (8, 10.2 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 5.2 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (8, 4.8 shows)
Alaska (7, 15.6 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 7.3 shows)
Poor Heart (6, 16.4 shows)
First Tube (6, 6.6 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (6, 14.6 shows)
Grind (6, 23.4 shows)
The Wedge (6, 6.8 shows)
Let Me Lie (6, 72.8 shows)
Heavy Things (6, 11.5 shows)
Sparkle (6, 13.9 shows)
Ya Mar (5, 13.6 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 7.5 shows)
Split Open and Melt (5, 8.7 shows)
Taste (5, 14.9 shows)
Beauty of a Broken Heart (5, 46.8 shows)
Train Song (5, 32.8 shows)
Brian and Robert (4, 29.8 shows)
When the Circus Comes (4, 20.5 shows)
Drowned (4, 28.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 50% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.