Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-12-30, American Airlines Arena were:
You Enjoy Myself (16, 6.3 shows)
Down with Disease (15, 4.2 shows)
Time Turns Elastic (12, 37.1 shows)
The Moma Dance (11, 4.4 shows)
Fluffhead (10, 7.5 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (10, 12.1 shows)
Limb By Limb (10, 9.8 shows)
The Squirming Coil (9, 10.9 shows)
Bathtub Gin (9, 4.7 shows)
Joy (9, 11.5 shows)
Ghost (9, 4.4 shows)
Rock and Roll (9, 9.4 shows)
The Horse (8, 14.5 shows)
Water in the Sky (8, 17.6 shows)
Grind (8, 22.2 shows)
Back on the Train (8, 5.6 shows)
Runaway Jim (8, 8.3 shows)
Silent in the Morning (8, 11.3 shows)
Lawn Boy (8, 10.4 shows)
Tube (7, 5.3 shows)
Train Song (7, 30.3 shows)
Taste (7, 14.5 shows)
Let Me Lie (7, 66.7 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 8.7 shows)
Sparkle (7, 13.9 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 7.5 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (6, 10.8 shows)
Waste (6, 12.6 shows)
A Day in the Life (6, 22.2 shows)
46 Days (6, 4.6 shows)
Foam (6, 20.2 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 6.5 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (6, 10.8 shows)
Farmhouse (6, 13.1 shows)
When the Circus Comes (5, 20.2 shows)
Seven Below (5, 19.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 17% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.