Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-12-31, American Airlines Arena were:
You Enjoy Myself (16, 6.3 shows)
Down with Disease (15, 4.2 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (13, 6.2 shows)
Time Turns Elastic (12, 37.1 shows)
Piper (12, 5.4 shows)
The Moma Dance (11, 4.4 shows)
AC/DC Bag (11, 7.5 shows)
Fluffhead (10, 7.5 shows)
Limb By Limb (10, 9.8 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (10, 12.1 shows)
Bathtub Gin (9, 4.7 shows)
The Squirming Coil (9, 10.9 shows)
Ghost (9, 4.4 shows)
Joy (9, 11.5 shows)
Rock and Roll (9, 9.4 shows)
Water in the Sky (8, 17.6 shows)
Silent in the Morning (8, 11.3 shows)
Grind (8, 22.2 shows)
Loving Cup (8, 9.1 shows)
Lawn Boy (8, 10.4 shows)
The Horse (8, 14.5 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 7.5 shows)
Tube (7, 5.3 shows)
Let Me Lie (7, 66.7 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 8.7 shows)
Taste (7, 14.5 shows)
Train Song (7, 30.3 shows)
Sparkle (7, 13.9 shows)
The Wedge (7, 6.9 shows)
Waste (6, 12.6 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 6.5 shows)
Ya Mar (6, 13.6 shows)
A Day in the Life (6, 22.2 shows)
Foam (6, 20.2 shows)
Farmhouse (6, 13.1 shows)
46 Days (6, 4.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 60% of the actual 30-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.