Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-12-29, American Airlines Arena were:
Down with Disease (15, 4.2 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (13, 4.4 shows)
Ocelot (13, 6.5 shows)
Time Turns Elastic (12, 37.1 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (11, 4.9 shows)
The Moma Dance (11, 4.4 shows)
Fluffhead (10, 7.5 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (10, 12.1 shows)
Limb By Limb (10, 9.8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (10, 5.2 shows)
The Squirming Coil (9, 10.9 shows)
Ghost (9, 4.4 shows)
Joy (9, 11.5 shows)
Prince Caspian (9, 7.4 shows)
Bathtub Gin (9, 4.7 shows)
Grind (8, 22.2 shows)
Back on the Train (8, 5.6 shows)
Runaway Jim (8, 8.3 shows)
Water in the Sky (8, 17.6 shows)
Lawn Boy (8, 10.4 shows)
Taste (7, 14.5 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 8.7 shows)
Sparkle (7, 13.9 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 7.5 shows)
Train Song (7, 30.3 shows)
Let Me Lie (7, 66.7 shows)
Tube (7, 5.3 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (7, 10.3 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 6.5 shows)
Waste (6, 12.6 shows)
A Day in the Life (6, 22.2 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (6, 10.8 shows)
Foam (6, 20.2 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (6, 10.8 shows)
Farmhouse (6, 13.1 shows)
Brian and Robert (5, 29 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 30% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.