Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-11-27, Times Union Center were:
Backwards Down the Number Line (12, 4.6 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (11, 4.4 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (10, 6.2 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (9, 12.1 shows)
Limb By Limb (9, 9.8 shows)
Fluffhead (8, 7.5 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 5.2 shows)
Free (8, 4.8 shows)
NICU (8, 10 shows)
AC/DC Bag (8, 7.5 shows)
The Squirming Coil (8, 10.9 shows)
Prince Caspian (8, 7.4 shows)
Grind (8, 22.2 shows)
Runaway Jim (8, 8.3 shows)
Ghost (8, 4.4 shows)
Joy (7, 11.5 shows)
Water in the Sky (7, 17.6 shows)
Alaska (7, 15.2 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 7.2 shows)
Loving Cup (7, 9.1 shows)
Back on the Train (7, 5.6 shows)
Rock and Roll (7, 9.4 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (6, 10.3 shows)
Poor Heart (6, 15.9 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.7 shows)
Taste (6, 14.5 shows)
Cavern (6, 5.9 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (5, 10.8 shows)
Ya Mar (5, 13.6 shows)
Waste (5, 12.6 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (5, 14.2 shows)
Foam (5, 20.2 shows)
Light (5, 5.1 shows)
Rift (4, 7.3 shows)
Horn (4, 15.5 shows)
I Didn't Know (4, 20.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 38% of the actual 24-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.