Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-11-25, Wachovia Center were:
You Enjoy Myself (13, 6.3 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (10, 4.6 shows)
Divided Sky (10, 7.3 shows)
Time Turns Elastic (10, 37.1 shows)
Tweezer (10, 4.7 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (9, 12.1 shows)
Fluffhead (8, 7.5 shows)
Grind (8, 22.2 shows)
Runaway Jim (8, 8.3 shows)
AC/DC Bag (8, 7.5 shows)
Free (8, 4.8 shows)
Water in the Sky (7, 17.6 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 7.2 shows)
Loving Cup (7, 9.1 shows)
Back on the Train (7, 5.6 shows)
Joy (7, 11.5 shows)
Alaska (7, 15.2 shows)
Train Song (6, 30.3 shows)
Taste (6, 14.5 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (6, 10.3 shows)
Poor Heart (6, 15.9 shows)
Cavern (6, 5.9 shows)
Waste (5, 12.6 shows)
Farmhouse (5, 13.1 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (5, 10.8 shows)
Ya Mar (5, 13.6 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 7.5 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (5, 14.2 shows)
Foam (5, 20.2 shows)
Light (5, 5.1 shows)
Horn (4, 15.5 shows)
Rift (4, 7.3 shows)
Guyute (4, 20.8 shows)
Undermind (4, 10.9 shows)
When the Circus Comes (4, 20.2 shows)
Brian and Robert (4, 29 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 44% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.