Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2024-10-27, MVP Arena were:
Chalk Dust Torture (9, 4.9 shows)
46 Days (9, 5.4 shows)
First Tube (8, 6.1 shows)
A Wave of Hope (8, 6.1 shows)
Evolve (8, 6.1 shows)
Everything's Right (8, 5.4 shows)
Oblivion (8, 6.1 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 6.1 shows)
Maze (7, 7 shows)
Twist (7, 7 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (7, 6.1 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (6, 8.2 shows)
Ether Edge (6, 8.2 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (6, 8.2 shows)
Pillow Jets (6, 8.2 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (6, 8.2 shows)
Hey Stranger (6, 8.2 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 8.2 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.2 shows)
Rift (5, 9.8 shows)
Mike's Song (5, 9.8 shows)
Simple (5, 9.8 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (5, 12.3 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (5, 9.8 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (5, 8.2 shows)
Cavern (4, 12.3 shows)
Undermind (4, 12.3 shows)
David Bowie (4, 12.3 shows)
Mercy (4, 12.3 shows)
Reba (4, 12.3 shows)
Taste (4, 12.3 shows)
Bug (4, 9.8 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 12.3 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 12.3 shows)
Beneath a Sea of Stars Part 1 (4, 12.3 shows)
It's Ice (3, 16.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 28% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.