Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2014-10-21, Santa Barbara Bowl were:
Run Like an Antelope (11, 6.1 shows)
Ghost (11, 4.3 shows)
Devotion To a Dream (11, 23.1 shows)
Back on the Train (11, 6 shows)
Ocelot (10, 10.2 shows)
Birds of a Feather (10, 8.4 shows)
David Bowie (10, 8.4 shows)
Yarmouth Road (9, 17.1 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (9, 5.4 shows)
Julius (9, 9.8 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (9, 12.5 shows)
Stash (8, 6.6 shows)
First Tube (7, 6.8 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (7, 8.9 shows)
Heavy Things (7, 14 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 8.7 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 7.9 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.9 shows)
Sing Monica (6, 57.6 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 6.8 shows)
Waves (6, 15.9 shows)
Undermind (5, 10.7 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (5, 12.1 shows)
Gumbo (5, 13.6 shows)
Fluffhead (5, 10.5 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (5, 6.1 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (5, 13.2 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 8.7 shows)
Divided Sky (5, 10 shows)
Silent in the Morning (5, 18.4 shows)
AC/DC Bag (5, 10.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (4, 10.7 shows)
Limb By Limb (4, 12.5 shows)
Grind (4, 27.1 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (4, 19.2 shows)
Walls of the Cave (4, 9.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 59% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.