Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2014-10-18, Key Arena were:
46 Days (14, 4.4 shows)
Character Zero (13, 4.9 shows)
Ghost (12, 4.2 shows)
Back on the Train (12, 5.9 shows)
The Line (12, 13.2 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (11, 6.3 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (11, 6.1 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 5.1 shows)
Julius (10, 9.6 shows)
Birds of a Feather (10, 8.4 shows)
Ocelot (10, 10.3 shows)
Stash (8, 6.6 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (7, 8.9 shows)
First Tube (7, 6.8 shows)
Heavy Things (7, 14 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 6.7 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.9 shows)
Waves (6, 16 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 8 shows)
Prince Caspian (6, 8.6 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 9.9 shows)
Sing Monica (6, 57.9 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (6, 6 shows)
Golden Age (5, 7.8 shows)
AC/DC Bag (5, 10.8 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (5, 18.5 shows)
Wilson (5, 9.4 shows)
Gumbo (5, 13.6 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (5, 13.2 shows)
Undermind (5, 10.8 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (5, 12.2 shows)
Walls of the Cave (4, 9.4 shows)
Grind (4, 27.2 shows)
Limb By Limb (4, 12.5 shows)
Runaway Jim (4, 10.8 shows)
Steam (4, 8.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 32% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.