Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2014-08-30, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Tweezer (15, 5.4 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (12, 4.9 shows)
Free (12, 4.8 shows)
Down with Disease (12, 5.1 shows)
The Moma Dance (11, 4.9 shows)
Birds of a Feather (11, 8.5 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (11, 5.3 shows)
Rift (11, 8.2 shows)
Waiting All Night (10, 14.1 shows)
Piper (10, 6.3 shows)
David Bowie (10, 8.5 shows)
Devotion To a Dream (10, 23.3 shows)
Yarmouth Road (9, 16.6 shows)
Tube (9, 5.4 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (9, 8 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (9, 5.4 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (7, 11.7 shows)
Divided Sky (7, 9.7 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (7, 6 shows)
Prince Caspian (7, 8.5 shows)
Heavy Things (7, 14.1 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 8.6 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 6.8 shows)
Winterqueen (6, 18.6 shows)
Golden Age (6, 7.8 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (6, 17.9 shows)
Waves (6, 16.1 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 9 shows)
Roggae (6, 9.3 shows)
Wombat (6, 21.2 shows)
Sing Monica (6, 58.3 shows)
Mound (5, 33.3 shows)
Wilson (5, 9.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (5, 10.6 shows)
Walls of the Cave (5, 9.3 shows)
Lawn Boy (5, 12.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 38% of the actual 24-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.