Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2014-08-29, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Backwards Down the Number Line (12, 6.2 shows)
Birds of a Feather (11, 8.5 shows)
Piper (10, 6.3 shows)
David Bowie (10, 8.5 shows)
Stash (9, 6.5 shows)
Yarmouth Road (9, 16.7 shows)
Divided Sky (7, 9.7 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (7, 11.7 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 8.6 shows)
Winterqueen (6, 18.7 shows)
Roggae (6, 9.3 shows)
Waves (6, 16.1 shows)
Lawn Boy (6, 12.6 shows)
Golden Age (6, 7.8 shows)
Sing Monica (6, 58.4 shows)
Walls of the Cave (6, 9.2 shows)
Silent in the Morning (6, 17.3 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 9 shows)
Wombat (6, 21.2 shows)
Steam (5, 8.5 shows)
Mound (5, 33.4 shows)
Meatstick (5, 13.7 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (5, 12.3 shows)
It's Ice (5, 17.3 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 12.3 shows)
Runaway Jim (5, 10.6 shows)
Wilson (5, 9.7 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (4, 18 shows)
Undermind (4, 10.9 shows)
Grind (4, 27.5 shows)
Twenty Years Later (4, 15.6 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (4, 13 shows)
NICU (4, 13.3 shows)
Camel Walk (3, 25.9 shows)
Bug (3, 11.1 shows)
Water in the Sky (3, 24.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 14% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.