Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2013-12-28, Madison Square Garden were:
Wolfman's Brother (10, 4.7 shows)
Golden Age (10, 7.1 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (10, 5.6 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (9, 7.7 shows)
AC/DC Bag (8, 9.4 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (8, 10.7 shows)
Rock and Roll (7, 13.6 shows)
Prince Caspian (7, 7.9 shows)
Lawn Boy (7, 10.7 shows)
Maze (7, 6.9 shows)
Divided Sky (7, 9 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 7.6 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (6, 19.5 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (6, 11.5 shows)
Walls of the Cave (6, 8.6 shows)
Cities (6, 12.1 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 7.7 shows)
Roses Are Free (6, 28.1 shows)
Army of One (5, 26.4 shows)
Twenty Years Later (5, 14 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (5, 9.6 shows)
Split Open and Melt (5, 8.5 shows)
It's Ice (5, 14.5 shows)
Steam (5, 7.7 shows)
Loving Cup (5, 11.2 shows)
NICU (5, 11.8 shows)
Scent of a Mule (4, 21.4 shows)
Joy (4, 15.5 shows)
Ya Mar (4, 14.5 shows)
First Tube (4, 6.6 shows)
Gumbo (4, 13.2 shows)
Architect (4, 112.3 shows)
Energy (4, 44.9 shows)
Reba (4, 8.5 shows)
Nellie Kane (4, 26.4 shows)
Show of Life (4, 32.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 18% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.