Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2013-10-25, DCU Center were:
Run Like an Antelope (11, 5.4 shows)
Ocelot (11, 8 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (10, 5.6 shows)
Cavern (10, 6.5 shows)
Mike's Song (9, 5.6 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (9, 5.3 shows)
Down with Disease (9, 4.6 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (9, 4.6 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (8, 7.8 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 4.8 shows)
Silent in the Morning (7, 14.1 shows)
Mound (7, 23.7 shows)
The Wedge (7, 6.4 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (7, 15 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 7.5 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 6.3 shows)
Free (7, 4.6 shows)
Stash (7, 6.3 shows)
Rift (7, 7.5 shows)
Tube (7, 5 shows)
Prince Caspian (6, 7.9 shows)
Lawn Boy (6, 10.7 shows)
Wilson (6, 8.7 shows)
Ghost (6, 4.1 shows)
Carini (6, 5.1 shows)
Army of One (6, 25 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (5, 18.8 shows)
Steam (5, 7.8 shows)
Runaway Jim (5, 10 shows)
Cities (5, 12.2 shows)
Walls of the Cave (5, 8.7 shows)
It's Ice (5, 14.5 shows)
Energy (4, 45 shows)
NICU (4, 11.8 shows)
Ya Mar (4, 14.5 shows)
Twenty Years Later (4, 14.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 58% of the actual 24-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.