Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2013-10-23, Glens Falls Civic Center were:
Chalk Dust Torture (11, 4.1 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (11, 5.4 shows)
Ocelot (11, 8 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (10, 5.6 shows)
Cavern (10, 6.5 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (9, 4.6 shows)
Twist (9, 4.6 shows)
David Bowie (8, 7.5 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (8, 7.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 7.5 shows)
Mound (7, 23.7 shows)
Free (7, 4.6 shows)
Stash (7, 6.3 shows)
Rift (7, 7.5 shows)
Lawn Boy (6, 10.7 shows)
Carini (6, 5.1 shows)
Wilson (6, 8.7 shows)
Army of One (6, 25 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (5, 18.8 shows)
Rock and Roll (5, 13.6 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (5, 11.5 shows)
Walls of the Cave (5, 8.7 shows)
It's Ice (5, 14.5 shows)
Runaway Jim (5, 10 shows)
Cities (5, 12.2 shows)
Yarmouth Road (5, 14.1 shows)
NICU (4, 11.8 shows)
Limb By Limb (4, 11.3 shows)
Fluffhead (4, 10 shows)
Architect (4, 112.5 shows)
Loving Cup (4, 11.3 shows)
Nellie Kane (4, 25 shows)
Twenty Years Later (4, 14.1 shows)
Show of Life (4, 32.1 shows)
Energy (4, 45 shows)
Crowd Control (3, 32.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 33% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.