Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2013-08-31, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Run Like an Antelope (10, 5.7 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (9, 5.9 shows)
Possum (9, 5.1 shows)
Mike's Song (8, 5.8 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (8, 5.6 shows)
Tweezer (7, 5.3 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (7, 5.8 shows)
Funky Bitch (7, 9.3 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (7, 7.1 shows)
Piper (7, 6.1 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (7, 5.2 shows)
Maze (7, 7.1 shows)
Bathtub Gin (7, 5.1 shows)
Tube (6, 5.3 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (6, 15.5 shows)
Julius (6, 9.2 shows)
46 Days (6, 4.4 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (6, 8.3 shows)
Free (6, 4.8 shows)
Rift (6, 7.9 shows)
Back on the Train (5, 5.9 shows)
Sample in a Jar (5, 9.3 shows)
Cities (5, 12.4 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 8.3 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (5, 7.9 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (5, 20.6 shows)
Mound (5, 26.1 shows)
Rock and Roll (5, 14.6 shows)
Fluffhead (5, 10.1 shows)
Nellie Kane (4, 24.8 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (4, 12.4 shows)
Twenty Years Later (4, 14.6 shows)
It's Ice (4, 16 shows)
Architect (4, 123.8 shows)
Bug (4, 10.8 shows)
Yarmouth Road (4, 15.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 46% of the actual 24-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.