Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2013-08-30, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Run Like an Antelope (10, 5.7 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (8, 7 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (7, 5.2 shows)
Twist (7, 4.8 shows)
Tweezer (7, 5.3 shows)
Funky Bitch (7, 9.4 shows)
Piper (7, 6.1 shows)
Bathtub Gin (7, 5.1 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 6.5 shows)
Tube (6, 5.3 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (6, 15.5 shows)
Julius (6, 9.2 shows)
Rift (6, 7.9 shows)
Free (6, 4.8 shows)
46 Days (6, 4.4 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (5, 20.7 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (5, 7.9 shows)
Stash (5, 6.4 shows)
Cities (5, 12.4 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 8.3 shows)
Back on the Train (5, 5.9 shows)
Ghost (5, 4.3 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (4, 12.4 shows)
It's Ice (4, 16 shows)
Twenty Years Later (4, 14.6 shows)
Yarmouth Road (4, 15.5 shows)
Nellie Kane (4, 24.8 shows)
Architect (4, 124 shows)
Waves (3, 15.5 shows)
Show of Life (3, 35.4 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (3, 12.1 shows)
Limb By Limb (3, 12.1 shows)
Alaska (3, 33.1 shows)
Split Open and Melt (3, 9 shows)
Undermind (3, 10.8 shows)
The Squirming Coil (3, 13.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 22% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.