Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2011-09-04, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Backwards Down the Number Line (20, 4.8 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (16, 4 shows)
David Bowie (16, 6.6 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (15, 4.9 shows)
Harry Hood (14, 4.1 shows)
Mike's Song (14, 5.1 shows)
Back on the Train (12, 5.5 shows)
Fluffhead (12, 8.3 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (11, 7.3 shows)
Wilson (10, 7.6 shows)
Roses Are Free (10, 15.9 shows)
AC/DC Bag (10, 8.3 shows)
Loving Cup (10, 9.8 shows)
Cities (9, 10.3 shows)
Tube (9, 5.2 shows)
Reba (9, 7.9 shows)
Halley's Comet (9, 7.6 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (9, 11.5 shows)
Rift (9, 6.9 shows)
46 Days (9, 4.5 shows)
Carini (9, 5.1 shows)
Rock and Roll (9, 10.7 shows)
Free (9, 4.8 shows)
Meatstick (8, 11.5 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (8, 11.3 shows)
Twist (8, 4.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (7, 8.9 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (7, 8.9 shows)
Camel Walk (7, 19.6 shows)
NICU (7, 11.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 7.5 shows)
Quinn the Eskimo (The Mighty Quinn) (7, 24.5 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 6.5 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (6, 14.3 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (6, 11.3 shows)
Bug (6, 10 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 45% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.