Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2011-06-12, Merriweather Post Pavilion were:
You Enjoy Myself (17, 6.8 shows)
Light (15, 5.1 shows)
Bathtub Gin (14, 4.7 shows)
Divided Sky (14, 8 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (13, 5 shows)
Funky Bitch (12, 7.2 shows)
Sample in a Jar (12, 7.5 shows)
The Moma Dance (11, 4.5 shows)
Back on the Train (11, 5.5 shows)
Halley's Comet (11, 7.5 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (10, 10.8 shows)
NICU (10, 11 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (10, 7.4 shows)
Carini (10, 5.2 shows)
Loving Cup (10, 9.6 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (9, 11.4 shows)
Alaska (9, 17.6 shows)
Ghost (9, 4.4 shows)
Cities (9, 10.3 shows)
Prince Caspian (9, 7.8 shows)
First Tube (9, 6.5 shows)
Runaway Jim (8, 8.7 shows)
Camel Walk (8, 18.6 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (8, 8.8 shows)
Simple (8, 7.2 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (8, 14 shows)
Heavy Things (7, 12.1 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (7, 28 shows)
Axilla (7, 12.6 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 8.8 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (7, 13.1 shows)
Meatstick (7, 11.6 shows)
The Squirming Coil (6, 12.3 shows)
Walk Away (6, 24.6 shows)
Foam (6, 22.8 shows)
Lawn Boy (6, 11.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 40% of the actual 25-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.