Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2011-06-11, Merriweather Post Pavilion were:
Tweezer Reprise (18, 4.7 shows)
Tweezer (18, 4.8 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (17, 6.8 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (16, 4 shows)
Ocelot (15, 7 shows)
Light (15, 5.1 shows)
Bathtub Gin (14, 4.7 shows)
Sample in a Jar (13, 7.4 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (13, 5 shows)
Piper (13, 5.5 shows)
AC/DC Bag (12, 8 shows)
Funky Bitch (12, 7.2 shows)
Carini (10, 5.2 shows)
Wilson (10, 7.4 shows)
Reba (10, 7.7 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (10, 10.8 shows)
NICU (10, 11 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (10, 7.4 shows)
Loving Cup (10, 9.6 shows)
First Tube (9, 6.6 shows)
Prince Caspian (9, 7.8 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (9, 11.4 shows)
Alaska (9, 17.6 shows)
Ghost (9, 4.4 shows)
Camel Walk (8, 18.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (8, 8.7 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (8, 14 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (8, 8.8 shows)
Show of Life (8, 19.3 shows)
Simple (8, 7.2 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (7, 11.2 shows)
The Squirming Coil (7, 12.1 shows)
Heavy Things (7, 12.1 shows)
Twenty Years Later (7, 14.3 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (7, 28 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 8.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 38% of the actual 26-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.