Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2010-12-28, DCU Center were:
Run Like an Antelope (14, 4.8 shows)
Light (13, 5.1 shows)
Ocelot (13, 7 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (12, 9.4 shows)
Fluffhead (12, 7.8 shows)
Piper (11, 5.5 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (11, 5 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (11, 8.9 shows)
46 Days (11, 4.4 shows)
Prince Caspian (10, 7.7 shows)
Reba (10, 7.6 shows)
Free (10, 4.8 shows)
AC/DC Bag (10, 7.9 shows)
Joy (9, 12.7 shows)
Rock and Roll (9, 10 shows)
The Moma Dance (9, 4.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (8, 7.5 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 6.5 shows)
Runaway Jim (7, 8.6 shows)
NICU (7, 11.1 shows)
First Tube (7, 6.6 shows)
Simple (7, 7.2 shows)
Alaska (7, 17.7 shows)
Sand (6, 4.7 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.9 shows)
Carini (6, 5.2 shows)
Lawn Boy (6, 11.1 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (6, 8.9 shows)
Maze (6, 6.7 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (6, 13.8 shows)
Cities (6, 10.3 shows)
Water in the Sky (5, 20.7 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 10.7 shows)
Sparkle (5, 15.1 shows)
Time Turns Elastic (5, 103.3 shows)
Sugar Shack (5, 22.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 24% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.